Tornado Advisory #1539

USA Weather — Severe Weather Division

This PWA expired and is no longer valid.

Issued
Oct 30 at 6:58 PM CDT
Expired
7 months ago
Forecasters
Lucas Clover
States Included
Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma
Counties Included
Chautauqua, Newton, Cherokee, Cleveland, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Garvin, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, Lincoln, Mayes, McClain, McIntosh, Muskogee, Nowata, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Ottawa, Pawnee, Payne, Pittsburg, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Rogers, Seminole, Sequoyah, Tulsa, Wagoner, and Washington
Cities Included
Elgin, Loma Linda, Briggs, Cookson, Dry Creek, Eldon, Gideon, Hulbert, Keys, Lost City, Moodys, Park Hill, Peggs, Pettit, Scraper, Tahlequah, Tenkiller, Teresita, Welling, Woodall, Zeb, Corbett, Etowah, Big Cabin, Centralia, Ketchum, Vinita, Welch, White Oak, Bristow, Depew, Drumright, Kellyville, Kiefer, Lawrence Creek, Mannford, Milfay, Mounds, Oilton, Sapulpa, Shamrock, Slick, Tulsa, Bernice, Brush Creek, Bull Hollow, Cayuga, Cleora, Cloud Creek, Copeland, Dennis, Eucha, Flint Creek, Grove, Jay, Kansas, Kenwood, Leach, Oaks, Old Eucha, Rocky Ford, Rose, Sycamore, Tagg Flats, Twin Oaks, Zena, Paoli, Pauls Valley, Stratford, Hoyt, Kinta, Lequire, McCurtain, Stigler, Tamaha, Whitefield, Atwood, Calvin, Dustin, Gerty, Holdenville, Horntown, Lamar, Spaulding, Stuart, Wetumka, Yeager, Gowen, Panola, Red Oak, Talihina, Wilburton, Agra, Avery, Chandler, Davenport, Kendrick, Meeker, Prague, Sparks, Stroud, Warwick, Adair, Ballou, Boatman, Cedar Crest, Chouteau, Disney, Grand Lake Towne, Hoot Owl, Iron Post, Langley, Locust Grove, Mazie, Murphy, Pensacola, Pin Oak Acres, Pryor, Salina, Snake Creek, Spavinaw, Sportsmen Acres, Strang, Byars, Rosedale, Checotah, Duchess Landing, Eufaula, Hanna, Hitchita, Pierce, Rentiesville, Shady Grove, Stidham, Texanna, Boynton, Braggs, Briartown, Council Hill, Fort Gibson, Haskell, Keefton, Muskogee, Oktaha, Porum, Simms, Summit, Taft, Wainwright, Warner, Webbers Falls, Alluwe, Delaware, Lenapah, Nowata, South Coffeyville, Wann, Watova, Bearden, Boley, Castle, Clearview, IXL, Okemah, Paden, Weleetka, Welty, Beggs, Dewar, Grayson, Henryetta, Hoffman, Morris, Nuyaka, Okmulgee, Preston, Schulter, Winchester, Avant, Barnsdall, Bowring, Fairfax, Foraker, Grainola, Gray Horse, Hominy, Nelagoney, Osage, Pawhuska, Prue, Shidler, Skiatook, Wynona, Afton, Bluejacket, Cardin, Commerce, Dotyville, Fairland, Miami, Narcissa, North Miami, Peoria, Picher, Quapaw, Wyandotte, Blackburn, Cleveland, Hallett, Jennings, Maramec, Oak Grove, Pawnee, Ralston, Skedee, Terlton, Westport, Cushing, Ripley, Yale, Alderson, Arpelar, Ashland, Blanco, Blocker, Canadian, Carlton Landing, Crowder, Haileyville, Hartshorne, Indianola, Krebs, Longtown, McAlester, Quinton, Savanna, Scipio, Ada, Allen, Byng, Center, Francis, Vanoss, Asher, Bethel Acres, Brooksville, Dale, Earlsboro, Johnson, Macomb, Maud, McLoud, Pearson, Pink, Saint Louis, Shawnee, Tecumseh, Tribbey, Wanette, Bushyhead, Catoosa, Chelsea, Claremore, Foyil, Gregory, Inola, Justice, Limestone, Oologah, Sequoyah, Talala, Tiawah, Valley Park, Verdigris, Bowlegs, Cromwell, Konawa, Lima, Sasakwa, Seminole, Wewoka, Aqua Park, Blackgum, Box, Carlisle, Evening Shade, Gore, Notchietown, Notiechtown, Paradise Hill, Pinhook Corner, Redbird Smith, Vian, Alsuma, Bixby, Broken Arrow, Collinsville, Glenpool, Jenks, Leonard, Liberty, Lotsee, Oakhurst, Owasso, Sand Springs, Sperry, Turley, Coweta, Fair Oaks, Okay, Porter, Red Bird, Redbird, Tullahassee, Wagoner, Bartlesville, Copan, Dewey, Ochelata, Oglesby, Ramona, and Vera
People Affected
24,159,749
LFOs Affected
OKC
Max Hail Size
2 in
Wind Gusts
75 mph

...SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS AND QLCS TO BRING TORNADO, LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT THROUGH THE EVENING...

...DISCUSSION...

SUPERCELLS AND THUNDERSTORM LINE SEGMENTS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING WITH MODEST INSTABILITY PRESENT UP TO 1000-1500 J/KG. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7-7.5 DEG C/KM ARE ALSO PRESENT, ALONG WITH 150-250 M2/S2 0-1 KM HELICITY. THIS FAVORS THE STORMS TO BE CAPABLE INITIALLY WITH SUPERCELLS, THEN MERGING INTO A QLCS LATER ON IN THE EVENING. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE, INCLUDING ALONG THE LINE AFTER MERGING INTO A QLCS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO AROUND 75 MPH WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER GUSTS, ALONG WITH UP TO 2 INCH DIAMETER HAIL (LARGER THAN GOLF-BALL SIZE) WILL BE POSSIBLE.



...HAZARDS...
...PROBABILITY OF TORNADOES...70%...
...PROBABILITY OF INTENSE TORNADOES (EF-2+)...20%...
...PROBABILITY OF DAMAGING WIND...70%...
...PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS (> 75 MPH)...30%...
...PROBABILITY OF HAIL...50%...
...PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT HAIL (> 3 INCHES)...10%...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL USA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE ALERTS.

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