Tornado Advisory #1537

USA Weather — Severe Weather Division

This PWA expired and is no longer valid.

Updated
Oct 30 at 8:54 PM CDT
Expired
8 months ago
Forecasters
Lucas Clover
States Included
Kansas and Oklahoma
Counties Included
Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Comanche, Cowley, Edwards, Greenwood, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Kiowa, Lyon, Marion, McPherson, Pawnee, Pratt, Reno, Rice, Sedgwick, Stafford, Sumner, Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Custer, Dewey, Garfield, Grady, Grant, Kay, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Major, McClain, Noble, Oklahoma, Osage, Payne, Roger Mills, Washita, Woods, and Woodward
Cities Included
Hardtner, Hazelton, Isabel, Kiowa, Lake City, Medicine Lodge, Sharon, Sun City, Dundee, Ellinwood, Great Bend, Heizer, Pawnee Rock, Andover, Augusta, Beaumont, Benton, Cassoday, Douglass, El Dorado, Elbing, Gordon, Latham, Leon, Potwin, Rosalia, Rose Hill, Towanda, Whitewater, Cedar Point, Clements, Cottonwood Falls, Elmdale, Matfield Green, Strong City, Wilmore, Akron, Arkansas City, Atlanta, Burden, Cambridge, Dexter, Floral, Maple City, Parkerfield, Rock, Silverdale, Udall, Wilmot, Winfield, Belpre, Trousdale, Reece, Anthony, Attica, Bluff City, Danville, Duquoin, Freeport, Harper, Waldron, Burrton, Halstead, Hesston, Newton, North Newton, Patterson, Sedgwick, Walton, Belmont, Calista, Cunningham, Kingman, Midway, Murdock, Nashville, Norwich, Penalosa, Rago, Saint Leo, Spivey, Varner, Willowdale, Zenda, Haviland, Wellsford, Emporia, Olpe, Plymouth, Antelope, Aulne, Burns, Florence, Goessel, Hillsboro, Lehigh, Marion, Peabody, Canton, Conway, Elyria, Galva, Inman, McPherson, Moundridge, Windom, Garfield, Byers, Cairo, Coats, Cullison, Hopewell, Iuka, Natrona, Pratt, Preston, Sawyer, Abbyville, Arlington, Buhler, Castleton, Haven, Hutchinson, Langdon, Medora, Nickerson, Partridge, Plevna, Pretty Prairie, South Hutchinson, Sylvia, Turon, Willowbrook, Yoder, Alden, Chase, Little River, Lyons, Mitchell, Raymond, Saxman, Sterling, Andale, Bellaire, Bentley, Cheney, Clearwater, Colwich, Derby, Eastborough, Furley, Garden Plain, Goddard, Greenwich, Greenwich Heights, Haysville, Kechi, Maize, McConnell Air Force Base, Midland Park, Mount Hope, Mulvane, Park City, Peck, Saint Marks, Schulte, Valley Center, Viola, Wichita, Hudson, Macksville, Radium, Saint John, Seward, St. John, Stafford, Anson, Argonia, Ashton, Belle Plaine, Caldwell, Cicero, Conway Springs, Corbin, Geuda Springs, Hunnewell, Mayfield, Milan, Milton, Oxford, Perth, Portland, Riverdale, South Haven, Wellington, Aline, Amorita, Burlington, Byron, Carmen, Cherokee, Driftwood, Goltry, Helena, Ingersoll, Jet, Lambert, McWillie, Nescatunga, Carter, Elk City, Sayre, Carleton, Eagle City, Geary, Greenfield, Hitchcock, Homestead, Longdale, O'Keene, Okeene, Southard, Watonga, Albert, Alfalfa, Binger, Bridgeport, Cogar, Eakly, Gracemont, Hinton, Hydro, Lookeba, Spring Creek, Calumet, Concho, El Reno, Mustang, Piedmont, Union City, Yukon, Moore, Newalla, Noble, Norman, Oklahoma City, Arapaho, Butler, Clinton, Custer City, Indianapolis, Thomas, Weatherford, Camargo, Cestos, Fay, Leedey, Lenora, Oakwood, Putnam, Seiling, Taloga, Vici, Bison, Breckinridge, Carrier, Covington, Douglas, Drummond, Enid, Fairmont, Garber, Hillsdale, Hunter, Kremlin, Lahoma, North Enid, Waukomis, Amber, Bridge Creek, Minco, Pocasset, Tuttle, Deer Creek, Jefferson, Lamont, Manchester, Medford, Nash, Pond Creek, Renfrow, Salt Fork, Sand Creek, Wakita, Blackwell, Braman, Kaw City, Kildare, Nardin, Newkirk, Peckham, Ponca City, Tonkawa, Uncas, Cashion, Dover, Hennessey, Kingfisher, Lacey, Loyal, Okarche, Omega, Carney, Fallis, Tryon, Wellston, Cedar Valley, Cimarron City, Coyle, Crescent, Guthrie, Langston, Lovell, Marshall, Meridian, Mulhall, Orlando, Ames, Chester, Cleo Springs, Fairview, Isabella, Meno, Orienta, Orion, Ringwood, Blanchard, Goldsby, Newcastle, Washington, Billings, Lucien, Marland, Morrison, Perry, Red Rock, Sumner, Arcadia, Bethany, Choctaw, Del City, Edmond, Forest Park, Harrah, Jones, Lake Aluma, Luther, Midwest City, Nichols Hills, Nicoma Park, Smith Village, Spencer, The Village, Valley Brook, Warr Acres, Wheatland, Woodlawn Park, Burbank, Grainola, McCord, Webb City, Ralston, Glencoe, Perkins, Stillwater, Berlin, Carpenter, Hammon, Bessie, Burns Flat, Canute, Colony, Cordell, Corn, Dill City, Foss, Retrop, Rocky, Sentinel, Alva, Avard, Capron, Dacoma, Freedom, Hopeton, Waynoka, Curtis, Mooreland, Mutual, Quinlan, and Woodward
People Affected
20,291,691
Max Hail Size
1.5 in
Wind Gusts
70 mph

Tornado Advisory #1537 was extended until Oct 30 at 11:00 PM CDT.

...SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF ALL FACETS OF SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING...

...DISCUSSION...

HAVE EXTENDED THE ADVISORY, AS STORMS ARE ONGOING IN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED OVER ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS.

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FROM 2:53 PM CDT OCT 30 2024 BY CLOVER:

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A DEEPENING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A COLD FRONT, WITH MODEST INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. MODEST MLCAPE UP TO AROUND 2000 J/KG AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 6.5-7 DEG C/KM, ALONG WITH 30-40 KTS 0-3 KM BULK SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROUGH WILL FAVOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO AROUND PING PONG BALL SIZE, BUT LOCALIZED LARGER HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

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IN ADDITION, DECENT COVERAGE OF 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY OF 150-200 M2/S2 AND LONG AND SOME CURVATURE TO HODOGRAPHS WILL ALSO FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES, AS WELL.



...HAZARDS...
...PROBABILITY OF TORNADOES...60%...
...PROBABILITY OF INTENSE TORNADOES (EF-2+)...5%...
...PROBABILITY OF DAMAGING WIND...60%...
...PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS (> 75 MPH)...20%...
...PROBABILITY OF HAIL...50%...
...PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT HAIL (> 3 INCHES)...<5%...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL USA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE ALERTS.

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